Results and analysis of new polls in the Senate races in Texas and Nebraska are at the bottom of this article.
With one week to go until the election, Kamala Harris’s lead over Donald J. Trump in the national polls is starting to get very slim.
Overall, she leads by less than one percentage point, according to The New York Times’s polling average. It’s her smallest lead since mid-August.
National Polling Average ›By The New York Times
Even so, last week’s polls did offer a silver lining for her: The state polls didn’t seem to lurch toward Mr. Trump, even as the national polling did.
Polling Leader If Polls miss like they did in … 2022 2020 U.S. National +1 Harris <1 Harris +3 Trump Mich. Michigan +1 Harris +7 Harris +4 Trump Wis. Wisconsin +1 Harris +3 Harris +9 Trump Nev. Nevada Even +2 Harris +3 Trump Pa. Pennsylvania Even +6 Harris +4 Trump N.C. North Carolina +1 Trump +1 Harris +4 Trump Ga. Georgia +1 Trump +2 Trump +3 Trump Ariz. Arizona +2 Trump +2 Harris +4 Trump Includes polling as of Oct. 27. See the latest polling averages »Electoral votes counting only states where a candidate leads by 3 or more:
226 Harris 219 TrumpElectoral votes if current polling translates perfectly to results (it won’t):
276 Harris 262 TrumpElectoral votes if state polls miss in the same way they did in 2020:
226 Harris 312 TrumpElectoral votes if state polls miss in the same way they did in 2022:
303 Harris 235 Trump Includes polling as of Oct. 27. See the latest polling averages »We are having trouble retrieving the article content.
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